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Red109
610719.5
23340.7
395936.5
Blue135
449965.9
174735.5
297326.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82138050100150200250109135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#45
40.71.7
36.037.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
blue by 25.2
65.90.8
68.068.8
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
Second
36.51.7
31.232.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 1.0
1747
#21
35.50.8
28.729.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Third
6107
#35
19.51.7
16.818.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End8.3
blue by 7.3
2973
#19
26.90.8
26.026.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned