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Red96
682341.3
328436.2
931315.7
Blue38
527627.7
877319.3
630212.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95610501509638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.7
36.637.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 13.6
5276
#15
27.71.6
27.125.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Second
3284
#13
36.20.7
33.534.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
red by 16.9
8773
#46
19.32.6
16.213.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
9313
#42
15.70.7
14.815.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
red by 3.0
6302
#49DQ
12.71.6
18.116.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed