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Red120
449965.9
255632.7
54725.6
Blue122
243843.5
707227.7
103848.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911150100150200120122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.4
68.868.4
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 17.6
48.21.0
42.943.9
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
Second
2556
#39
32.70.4
30.730.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
blue by 10.8
43.51.0
39.340.3
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
Third
547
#43
25.60.7
27.226.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End5.2
blue by 2.1
7072
#22
27.71.0
25.026.0
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned