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Red121
804441.5
361643.4
877319.3
Blue98
862423.1
384323.2
162247.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101809011012013014012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
43.41.2
42.944.1
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
blue by 4.2
1622
#11
47.50.1
48.448.3
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
Second
8044
#12
41.51.2
39.841.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End6.5
red by 18.3
3843
#40
23.20.2
23.423.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Third
8773
#46
19.31.7
15.617.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 3.8
8624
#29
23.10.2
23.323.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned