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Red115
711124.4
174735.5
742828.2
Blue149
103848.2
682341.3
541020.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83109050150200250115149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#21
35.52.3
33.135.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
blue by 12.7
48.23.0
44.847.8
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
Second
7428
#38
28.22.3
26.028.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End6.0
blue by 13.0
41.33.0
37.740.7
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Third
7111
#26
24.42.3
22.124.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End6.2
red by 3.7
5410
#31
20.73.0
16.219.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned