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Red149
243843.5
17956.7
527627.7
Blue141
547261.1
756736.5
23340.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914150100200250149141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#10
56.71.8
54.656.4
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
blue by 4.4
5472
#14
61.10.7
59.059.6
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
Second
43.51.8
42.243.9
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
red by 2.9
233
#45
40.70.7
40.741.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
Third
5276
#15
27.71.8
25.727.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
blue by 8.8
7567
#25
36.50.7
35.836.5
Auto9.6
Teleop22.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed