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Red179
3361.3
260752.8
402868.7
Blue207
97263.2
632859.9
68758.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190179150200250179207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
68.70.0
69.469.4
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
red by 5.5
972
#26
63.20.5
62.763.1
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
33
#15
61.30.0
61.961.9
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
red by 1.3
6328
#57
59.90.5
59.459.9
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
Third
52.80.0
53.553.5
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
blue by 5.8
687
#10
58.60.5
58.258.6
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End8.3