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Red167
118951.8
220245.3
157772.4
Blue122
86250.2
325625.9
366356.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18014150100200250167122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
72.40.2
70.370.5
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
red by 15.4
3663
#33
56.91.3
59.157.8
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
Second
1189
#39
51.80.2
51.751.9
Auto15.0
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 1.5
862
#30
50.21.3
50.849.5
Auto11.3
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Third
2202
#25
45.30.2
46.246.4
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
red by 19.4
3256
#65
25.91.3
27.125.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned