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Red178
86250.2
161965.3
808556.5
Blue155
301561.2
913426.6
97263.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17315350100200250178155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
65.30.7
64.265.0
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 2.1
972
#26
63.20.2
61.061.2
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
56.50.7
55.155.9
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4
blue by 4.7
3015
#48
61.20.2
61.561.7
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
Third
862
#30
50.20.7
49.550.2
Auto11.3
Teleop28.1
End9.8
red by 23.7
9134
#66
26.60.2
26.426.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned