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Red143
220245.3
260752.8
54846.5
Blue123
148146.1
250633.0
287537.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310650200143123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.0
48.548.5
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
red by 6.7
1481
#49
46.11.2
46.347.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.1
End8.5
Second
548
#52
46.50.0
41.441.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.9
End8.0
red by 8.8
2875
#56
37.71.2
29.630.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
Third
2202
#25
45.30.0
48.048.0
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
red by 12.3
2506
#58
33.01.2
29.130.3
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned