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Red111
906732.8
459829.6
744439.0
Blue120
188425.3
490358.5
918023.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99102406080120140160180111120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#55
39.00.3
39.639.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End6.7
blue by 19.5
4903
#14
58.50.7
55.656.3
Auto15.2
Teleop36.1
End6.4
Second
9067
#61
32.80.2
25.826.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.7
End6.7
red by 7.5
1884
#63
25.30.8
14.815.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End5.0
Third
4598
#75
29.60.2
27.627.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
red by 5.9
9180
#64
23.70.7
24.725.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned