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Red105
222038.1
437351.1
325625.9
Blue109
345922.3
918023.7
97263.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911050100150200105109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#45
51.10.4
53.653.2
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End6.8
blue by 12.1
972
#26
63.20.0
56.356.3
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
2220
#73
38.10.4
31.030.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 14.4
9180
#64
23.70.0
25.325.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
Third
3256
#65
25.90.4
26.325.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.4
red by 3.6
3459
#70
22.30.0
23.022.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed