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Red158
447655.3
366356.9
268761.2
Blue87
313039.1
563536.4
905917.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1998505010015025030015887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#12
61.20.9
62.561.6
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3
red by 22.1
3130
#46
39.12.7
37.034.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End6.1
Second
3663
#33
56.90.9
59.958.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
red by 20.5
5635
#59
36.42.7
37.034.3
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.7
Third
4476
#38
55.30.9
52.952.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.4
End8.9
red by 37.9
9059
#72
17.42.7
19.616.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed