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Qual 262023 Archimedes Division
Red115
523253.0
118951.8
12044.9
Blue159
25475.8
744439.0
756341.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15016350100200250300115159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#44
53.01.8
51.1→49.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.0
End10.6
blue by 22.8
254
#4
75.80.5
77.6→78.1
Auto18.3
Teleop45.8
End9.0
Second
1189
#39
51.81.8
52.2→50.4
Auto15.0
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 9.9
7563
#40
41.80.5
39.0→39.6
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Third
120
#41
44.91.8
39.3→37.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.7
End9.0
red by 6.0
7444
#55
39.00.7
39.9→40.5
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned