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Red117
161965.3
245732.7
332242.2
Blue123
433.9
32452.0
918023.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810750200250117123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
65.31.4
62.160.7
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 13.3
324
#34
52.01.1
51.552.6
Auto9.9
Teleop32.4
End9.1
Second
3322
#42
42.21.4
41.139.7
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End8.7
red by 8.3
4
#69
33.91.1
28.129.2
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End7.2
Third
2457
#62
32.71.4
30.428.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End8.7
red by 9.0
9180
#64
23.71.1
26.227.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned