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Red137
287537.7
220245.3
436261.3
Blue179
110255.9
205683.3
872450.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136187100150200250137179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#35
61.30.8
54.954.1
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
blue by 22.0
83.30.3
83.784.0
Auto19.2
Teleop52.7
End8.1
Second
2202
#25
45.30.8
48.848.0
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
blue by 10.6
55.90.3
48.749.1
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End6.7
Third
2875
#56
37.70.8
30.429.6
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
blue by 12.5
8724
#21
50.20.3
45.245.5
Auto14.3
Teleop27.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned