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Red158
83450.7
68758.6
366356.9
Blue147
872450.2
97263.2
721155.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691640100200300400500158147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#10
58.60.3
52.251.8
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End8.3
blue by 4.5
972
#26
63.20.9
54.954.0
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
3663
#33
56.90.3
60.059.6
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
red by 1.0
7211
#47
55.90.9
56.755.9
Auto16.5
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Third
834
#43
50.70.3
50.950.6
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End7.4
red by 0.5
8724
#21
50.20.9
49.448.6
Auto14.3
Teleop27.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed