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Red149
332242.2
721155.9
903838.1
Blue157
290518.4
246871.6
157455.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134146050100200250149157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#47
55.90.8
55.956.7
Auto16.5
Teleop30.3
End7.3
blue by 15.7
71.61.4
67.368.7
Auto19.9
Teleop43.0
End8.1
Second
3322
#42
42.20.8
39.740.5
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End8.7
blue by 13.1
1574
#27
55.31.4
53.454.8
Auto14.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Third
9038
#54
38.10.8
31.532.3
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End4.1
red by 19.7
2905
#51
18.41.4
15.316.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed