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Red131
268761.2
599323.3
7853.8
Blue107
287537.7
118951.8
918023.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158103050200250131107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#12
61.21.7
61.559.8
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3
red by 9.5
1189
#39
51.80.2
50.350.5
Auto15.0
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Second
78
#22
53.81.7
55.553.8
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
red by 16.1
2875
#56
37.70.2
29.930.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
Third
5993
#76
23.31.7
24.622.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End3.3
blue by 0.4
9180
#64
23.70.2
23.523.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned