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Red137
325625.9
176863.2
7853.8
Blue145
7058.7
808556.5
290518.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155129100200137145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#28
63.21.0
62.561.5
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4
red by 4.5
70
#19
58.71.4
55.957.3
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End10.5
Second
78
#22
53.81.0
53.852.7
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
blue by 2.7
56.51.4
51.452.8
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4
Third
3256
#65
25.91.0
26.125.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.4
red by 7.5
2905
#51
18.41.4
16.718.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned