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Red140
25475.8
580929.8
903838.1
Blue151
717446.9
7853.8
437351.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14815150100200250140151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
75.80.1
78.478.5
Auto18.3
Teleop45.8
End9.0
red by 22.0
78
#22
53.80.6
51.051.6
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
Second
9038
#54
38.10.1
32.232.2
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End4.1
blue by 12.9
4373
#45
51.10.6
53.053.6
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End6.8
Third
5809
#68
29.80.1
32.232.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End6.2
blue by 17.1
7174
#23
46.90.6
37.338.0
Auto13.4
Teleop24.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned