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Red103
314244.0
599323.3
220245.3
Blue127
580929.8
188425.3
161965.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120113406080100140160103127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#25
45.30.6
46.846.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
blue by 20.0
1619
#20
65.31.0
60.361.3
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
3142
#32
44.00.6
42.541.9
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 14.2
5809
#68
29.81.0
26.527.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
5993
#76
23.30.6
22.221.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End3.3
blue by 2.0
1884
#63
25.31.0
20.321.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned