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Red130
245732.7
903838.1
287537.7
Blue124
366356.9
345922.3
176863.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9216450150200250130124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#54
38.11.2
33.835.0
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End4.1
blue by 25.1
1768
#28
63.21.4
61.560.1
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4
Second
2875
#56
37.71.2
31.933.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
blue by 19.2
3663
#33
56.91.4
60.559.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
Third
2457
#62
32.71.2
29.530.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End8.7
red by 10.4
3459
#70
22.31.4
23.121.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsMissed