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Red128
459829.6
118951.8
563536.4
Blue174
3361.3
717446.9
600251.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118164050100150200250128174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#39
51.80.4
52.151.7
Auto15.0
Teleop27.9
End7.8
blue by 9.5
33
#15
61.31.7
57.559.2
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
Second
5635
#59
36.40.4
35.735.4
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.7
blue by 14.7
6002
#36
51.11.7
48.149.9
Auto14.4
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Third
4598
#75
29.60.4
28.528.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
blue by 17.3
7174
#23
46.91.7
42.544.2
Auto13.4
Teleop24.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned