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Red39
658617.5
500220.1
543715.5
Blue121
103827.4
1643.3
303930.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5591020408010012014039121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#26
20.11.9
22.320.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End6.7
blue by 23.2
16
#4
43.33.9
30.034.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
Second
6586
#27
17.51.9
15.613.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
blue by 13.4
30.93.9
28.832.7
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
5437
#22
15.51.9
18.016.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 11.9
1038
#14
27.43.9
21.725.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned