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Red81
545427.9
1643.3
199716.6
Blue135
193932.4
426535.9
433637.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9697608012014081135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
43.31.5
38.637.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
red by 6.0
37.34.9
31.436.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
Second
5454
#12
27.91.5
25.523.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
blue by 8.0
35.94.9
28.533.4
Auto12.9
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Third
1997
#21
16.61.5
25.824.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End8.1
blue by 15.8
32.44.9
30.735.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned