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Qual 282023 Arkansas Regional
Red109
239329.0
156121.0
433637.3
Blue88
103827.4
476640.6
710618.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9176406010012014010988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#6
37.31.7
36.4→38.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
blue by 3.3
4766
#3
40.61.7
30.6→32.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.8
End11.3
Second
2393
#16
29.01.7
25.3→27.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
red by 1.6
1038
#14
27.41.7
27.6→29.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End7.4
Third
1561
#10
21.01.7
22.0→23.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.0
red by 2.9
7106
#23
18.11.7
14.9→16.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned