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Qual 302023 Arkansas Regional
Red117
310226.7
193932.4
317925.2
Blue100
907317.6
500620.9
426535.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8576204060100120140117100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#8
32.41.8
30.3→32.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
blue by 3.5
4265
#7
35.93.1
35.5→38.6
Auto12.9
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Second
3102
#11
26.71.8
24.3→26.2
Auto11.4
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 5.8
5006
#28
20.93.1
17.4→20.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Third
3179
#19
25.21.8
23.8→25.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
red by 7.6
9073
#25
17.63.1
19.2→22.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned