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Red125
743017.0
452249.8
752531.8
Blue105
303930.9
658617.5
906725.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9471406080100120140125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.84.4
39.644.0
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
red by 18.9
30.90.5
33.533.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Second
31.84.4
30.735.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
red by 6.1
9067
#15
25.80.5
22.421.9
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Third
7430
#24
17.04.4
15.019.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 0.5
6586
#27
17.50.5
13.513.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned