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Qual 362023 Arkansas Regional
Red121
239329.0
658617.5
393748.9
Blue78
906725.8
500620.9
193932.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8678406010012012178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#2
48.93.8
41.0→44.8
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 16.4
1939
#8
32.40.4
32.1→32.5
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
Second
2393
#16
29.03.8
25.8→29.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
red by 3.2
9067
#15
25.80.4
21.9→22.3
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Third
6586
#27
17.53.8
13.0→16.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
blue by 3.4
5006
#28
20.90.4
20.5→20.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed