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Qual 392023 Arkansas Regional
Red93
393119.7
752531.8
605517.9
Blue79
543715.5
310226.7
239329.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70782040601001209379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7525
#5
31.81.1
32.1→33.2
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
red by 2.9
2393
#16
29.00.3
29.5→29.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Second
3931
#17
19.71.2
13.0→14.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
blue by 7.0
3102
#11
26.70.3
26.2→25.8
Auto11.4
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Third
6055
#20
17.91.2
21.4→22.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
red by 2.5
5437
#22
15.50.3
16.5→16.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned