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Qual 42023 Arkansas Regional
Red66
433637.3
543715.5
906725.8
Blue106
452249.8
605517.9
500220.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59800204010012014016066106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#6
37.30.8
22.1→23.0
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
blue by 12.5
4522
#1
49.82.6
31.6→34.2
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
Second
9067
#15
25.815.3
32.8→17.5
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
red by 5.7
5002
#26
20.12.6
19.7→22.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Third
5437
#22
15.50.8
19.6→20.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 2.5
6055
#20
17.92.6
21.5→24.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned