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Qual 432023 Arkansas Regional
Red121
906725.8
393748.9
393119.7
Blue71
658617.5
317925.2
433637.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8687809010011012012171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#2
48.92.4
44.8→47.2
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 11.5
4336
#6
37.31.0
39.3→38.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
Second
9067
#15
25.82.4
22.3→24.6
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
red by 0.6
3179
#19
25.21.0
25.4→24.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Third
3931
#17
19.72.4
14.2→16.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
red by 2.3
6586
#27
17.51.0
16.7→15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed