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Match 72023 Arkansas Regional
Red144
393748.9
605517.9
452249.8
Blue107
545427.9
500620.9
303930.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377450100150200144107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#1
49.80.5
51.1→51.6
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
red by 18.9
3039
#9
30.90.7
30.2→30.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Second
3937
#2
48.90.5
50.1→50.6
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 20.9
5454
#12
27.90.7
27.2→27.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
Third
6055
#20
17.90.5
19.2→19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
blue by 3.0
5006
#28
20.90.7
20.2→20.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7