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Red136
461357.7
598818.6
651041.0
Blue130
743341.6
650834.2
914622.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127986080120140160180200136130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.4
57.257.7
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
red by 16.0
41.60.8
40.841.6
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Second
41.00.5
40.541.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.7
End7.6
red by 6.8
34.20.8
33.334.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Third
5988
#27
18.60.5
18.118.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End6.2
blue by 4.0
9146
#22
22.60.8
21.822.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7