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Red95
598522.4
650834.2
743341.6
Blue29
608320.7
564813.2
453724.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69530204060801001201409529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.63.5
22.225.7
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 17.6
4537
#21
24.12.5
15.813.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Second
34.23.5
19.723.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
red by 13.4
6083
#28Sur
20.72.5
17.414.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End8.3
Third
5985
#18
22.43.5
21.224.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End5.7
red by 9.2
5648
#26
13.22.5
18.716.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed