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Red28
598818.6
914717.4
758322.4
Blue97
461357.7
533120.2
477425.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110002060801201401602897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7583
#29
22.42.0
16.314.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0
blue by 35.3
57.70.4
46.446.8
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
Second
5988
#27
18.62.0
13.711.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End6.2
blue by 6.6
25.10.7
22.423.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Third
9147
#15
17.42.0
16.014.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End5.7
blue by 2.8
5331
#19
20.20.7
17.217.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned