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Red41
884412.5
472916.9
473916.5
Blue75
608320.7
598522.4
914717.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50592040801004175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4729
#11
16.90.8
15.614.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 5.5
5985
#18
22.40.2
24.824.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End5.7
Second
4739
#33
16.50.8
15.314.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.1
blue by 4.3
6083
#28
20.70.2
15.715.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End8.3
Third
8844
#34
12.50.8
17.316.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 4.9
9147
#15
17.40.2
14.013.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed