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Red60
608320.7
914420.2
712819.8
Blue48
758322.4
643417.6
606314.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54572040801006048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#28
20.71.0
15.516.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End8.3
blue by 1.6
7583
#29
22.41.1
18.717.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0
Second
9144
#10
20.21.0
18.219.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End6.3
red by 2.6
6434
#14
17.61.1
15.114.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Third
7128
#16
19.81.0
17.518.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End7.6
red by 5.4
6063
#30
14.41.1
19.318.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed