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Red62
478824.8
453724.1
716321.3
Blue113
650834.2
558435.5
477425.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617420408010012062113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#24
24.80.3
24.324.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End2.9
blue by 10.7
35.54.5
23.427.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Second
4537
#21
24.10.3
17.117.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
blue by 10.1
34.24.5
20.324.7
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Third
7163
#20
21.30.3
17.517.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
blue by 3.9
25.14.5
24.128.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed