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Red111
461357.7
914717.4
918913.2
Blue61
919121.8
313237.5
55647.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817705010015011161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.4
50.551.9
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
red by 20.2
37.51.8
35.633.8
Auto12.8
Teleop15.1
End9.6
Second
9147
#15
17.42.3
14.917.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End5.7
blue by 4.4
9191
#12
21.81.8
25.123.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End8.5
Third
9189
#32
13.22.3
10.012.3
Auto1.3
Teleop5.9
End6.0
red by 6.3
5564
#35
7.01.8
11.69.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned