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Red90
743341.6
598818.6
453724.1
Blue41
481722.4
598522.4
606314.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612040801001209041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.5
32.334.8
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 19.2
5985
#18
22.41.9
21.619.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End5.7
Second
4537
#21
24.12.5
17.519.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 1.7
22.41.9
18.616.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Third
5988
#27
18.62.5
12.815.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End6.2
red by 4.1
6063
#30
14.41.9
18.216.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed