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Red128
461357.7
472916.9
914420.2
Blue70
712819.8
650834.2
587617.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9964020408012014012870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.2
51.853.0
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
red by 23.5
34.20.6
29.029.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
9144
#10
20.21.8
19.721.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End6.3
red by 0.4
7128
#16
19.80.7
18.419.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End7.6
Third
4729
#11
16.91.7
16.918.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 0.1
5876
#25
17.00.6
16.717.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned