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Red85
758322.4
643216.7
914622.6
Blue45
608320.7
657514.1
919121.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53680204060801001201408545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9146
#22
22.62.5
17.520.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7
red by 0.8
9191
#12
21.81.7
25.223.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End8.5
Second
7583
#29
22.42.5
18.120.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0
red by 1.6
6083
#28
20.71.5
22.120.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End8.3
Third
6432
#17
16.72.7
16.118.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End7.1
red by 2.7
6575
#31
14.11.7
14.913.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed