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Red49
587617.0
533120.2
919121.8
Blue82
478824.8
884412.5
643417.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7152204060801001201404982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9191
#12
21.81.8
23.621.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End8.5
blue by 2.9
4788
#24
24.81.1
23.624.8
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Second
5331
#19
20.21.6
21.820.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End5.1
red by 2.6
6434
#14
17.61.1
16.117.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Third
5876
#25
17.01.6
18.617.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End4.3
red by 4.5
8844
#34
12.51.2
11.212.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned