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Red124
461357.7
598818.6
651041.0
Blue100
743341.6
650834.2
914622.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124996080140160180124100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.2
56.456.6
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
red by 16.0
41.60.0
40.940.8
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Second
41.00.3
39.639.9
Auto11.8
Teleop21.7
End7.6
red by 6.8
34.20.0
33.433.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Third
5988
#27
18.60.3
17.117.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End6.2
blue by 4.0
9146
#22
22.60.0
21.821.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7