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Red82
914622.6
650834.2
743341.6
Blue70
699631.9
758322.4
477425.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058340601201401601808270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
40.840.5
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 9.7
31.90.5
32.431.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.8
End5.4
Second
34.20.3
33.433.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
red by 9.0
25.10.5
25.725.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Third
9146
#22
22.60.3
21.821.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7
red by 0.3
7583
#29
22.40.5
22.922.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0