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Red119
453724.1
313237.5
558435.5
Blue130
743341.6
650834.2
914622.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102996080120140119130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.6
36.937.5
Auto12.8
Teleop15.1
End9.6
blue by 4.1
41.60.9
40.040.9
Auto13.2
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Second
35.50.7
34.735.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End7.9
red by 1.3
34.20.9
32.533.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Third
4537
#21
24.10.6
23.424.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 1.4
9146
#22
22.60.9
20.921.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7