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Red50
99886.9
478832.1
998718.5
Blue68
930813.6
999116.4
650914.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38230501001502005068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.2
32.132.0
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
red by 15.7
16.40.6
15.416.0
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Second
18.50.2
18.518.4
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
red by 3.6
6509
#13
14.90.6
14.014.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9988
#16
6.90.2
7.06.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
blue by 6.7
13.60.6
12.613.2
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2