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Red25
998611.7
919119.8
711319.9
Blue29
999211.2
998516.7
999116.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614010203040506070802529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.8
10.29.4
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 3.3
9985
#10
16.70.7
9.19.8
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Second
19.80.5
17.316.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 3.4
16.40.7
7.98.6
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Third
9986
#12
11.70.8
4.73.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
red by 0.5
9992
#11
11.20.7
6.16.7
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed8%Activation oddsMissed